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Mar 20, 2005

日曜重賞予想 ―スプリングS 阪神大賞典―

  スプリングS

 ◎ ⑬ヴァーミリアン       北村 宏司 *M.デムーロより乗り替り
 ○ ⑤ダンスインザモア     蛯名 正義
 ▲ ⑧マキハタサーメット     松永 幹夫
 △ ⑦ペールギュント       柴田 善臣
 △ ①ワールドアベニュー    横山 典弘
 × ④ディーエスハリアー    菊沢 隆徳


クラシックに直結するレース、ラジオたんぱ杯の勝ち馬ヴァーミリアンが勇躍東上。ペースを問わずに折り合えるし、自在性のある脚質も中山向き。クラシックへ向けてどういうレースを見せてくれるか。
出走権のほしい500万クラスの「必死組」からダンスインザモアを抜擢。渋った馬場で勝ちあがってきているが、2走前を見ても良馬馬のスピード勝負でも見劣りしないはず。一瞬のキレこそないが、長くしぶとい末脚で上位を窺う。
安定感抜群のマキハタサーメットは前走の距離延長にも対応できたあたり相当な資質を感じる。小回り千八だけに前残りも十分警戒が必要だが、後ろのヴァーミリアンを気にするすることなく、マイペースで運べれば勝ち負けまで。
重賞2勝で実績最右翼のペールギュント。ここ最近の成績を見る限り、身上の末脚を披露するにはやはり直線の長いコースが向いているが、本番をにらんだ今回はいかに多頭数を捌けるか脚を計る乗り方をしてくるかも。

3連単の⑬、⑤との2頭軸で相手はやや手広く。

―――――――――――――――――――――――――――

  阪神大賞典

 ◎ ⑨サクラセンチュリー     武 幸四郎 
 ○ ①アイポッパー         藤田 伸二 
 ▲ ④リンカーン          福永 祐一
 △ ⑩ピサノクウカイ        岩田 康誠
 × ⑥ペルフェット         幸 英明


サクラセンチュリーで鉄板・・・といいたいところだが、やはりテン乗りの鞍上が少し心配。普通に乗れば勝てる器であることは重々承知の上で、あえて取りこぼしを警戒。
逆転候補は当然アイポッパーとなってくるが、前走の万葉Sが強い内容。折り合いの心配もなく、長距離血統の本格化を告げるか。長距離路線この春の上がり馬同士による息詰まるつばぜり合いをじっくり拝見するとしよう。
リンカーンはここを叩いてからの公算が強いが、やはり前回の覇者だけに敬意を払う。
怖いのは日経賞に回らずにここに定めてきたピサノクウカイ。逃げ脚に新境地を開きつつあるだけに、鞍上が上手く持たせるようだと上位崩しもありうる。

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